Chapecoense sit bottom after 27 games, 11 points adrift
Chapecoense have 18 points from 27 matches, 11 fewer than Grêmio in the last safe place.
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Twenty-seventh round done, and Chapecoense are still last in Campeonato Brasileiro Série A. The numbers are not cruel, they are just plain: 3 wins, 9 draws, 15 defeats, 18 points.
The gap to safety is 11 points. Grêmio occupy 17th on 29, and they have played one match more. So even a perfect run from the bottom club needs someone above them to stop collecting.
Look at the goal columns. 29 scored, 53 conceded, a difference of -24. Only one team in the division has a worse defensive record, and that team is not fighting relegation. The attack is mid-table respectable; the other end is the problem.
The split makes it worse. At home Chapecoense have 2 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses. Away: 1 win, 4 draws, 9 defeats. Four points from a possible... no. One away win all season. That is the sentence that explains the table.
Form over the last five reads W, L, W, L, D — two wins in there, which is more than the previous month offered. The current run stands at 1D.
Meanwhile Grêmio have 29 from 28, with 30 scored and 38 conceded. Their away record is the mirror image of their home record: 1 win, 4 draws, 10 defeats on the road against 7 wins at home. Both clubs have a soft side. Only one of them has eleven points of cushion.
At the other end, Flamengo lead on 60 with a goal difference of +32, ahead of Palmeiras on 57. Paranaense are third on 49.
Can Chapecoense close 11 points? They would need roughly four wins more than Grêmio manage over the rest of the season. With 1 away victory so far, that is not a plan. That is a hope.