Chapecoense sit bottom, 13 points from safety
With 31 rounds gone, Chapecoense have 21 points, a -31 goal difference and a 13-point gap to 17th-placed Grêmio.
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Chapecoense are last in Campeonato Brasileiro Série A. That is not a surprise any more. 31 matches have produced 4 wins, 9 draws and 18 defeats, leaving them on 21 points and 13 behind the team directly above the relegation line.
The arithmetic is unforgiving. Grêmio occupy 17th place with 34 points from 32 games, and they are not even the side in form: their last five read D, D, D, L and W. The gap between the two clubs is 13 points with a handful of rounds left on the calendar.
What makes the position worse is the away record. One win on the road all season — 1 in 1+ context, four draws, 11 losses. At home the numbers are respectable without being decisive: 3 wins, 5 draws, 7 defeats. A team that cannot take points on the road cannot close a 13-point gap.
At the other end, Flamengo lead with 70 points and a +37 goal difference, one clear of Palmeiras on 69. Cruzeiro and Paranaense are level on 54 in third and fourth. The title race is tight. The bottom is not.
Chapecoense have scored 32 and conceded 63. Their goal difference is -31. They did win their most recent match, a 1W run that at least stops the slide, but one result after that run of L, L and L changes very little.
Can a side with 4 wins in 31 games survive? The table says no. Chapecoense need a run nobody has seen from them this season, and they need it to start immediately.